XRP Breaks Out of Bull Flag, Echoes 2025 Fractal

XRP has broken above a multi-week bull flag on the daily chart, with the flag’s upper boundary and the 50-day simple moving average sitting near $1.40. Traders and analysts are watching the level for confirmation of a sustained uptrend.

The current price action resembles a sequence from 2025. After a cycle low in April 2025, XRP consolidated inside a bull flag and then broke above the pattern in early July. That breakout preceded a roughly 66% rise that carried the price to about $3.66 in under two weeks. The recent breakout has occurred alongside a bullish crossover between shorter- and medium-term exponential moving averages, similar to the prior episode.

Market participants are tracking specific price thresholds. A daily close above about $1.42 is being viewed as a fresh bullish trigger by some analysts, while continued support around $1.40 is cited as a level that would keep upside scenarios on the table. Analysts have identified upside ranges between $2.00 and $2.40 and noted a $2.35 level in the event the chart pattern repeats, all presented as possible targets rather than forecasts.

On shorter time frames, XRP is trading above the 100-hour simple moving average and momentum indicators have produced buy signals. Analyst Jack Straw wrote on X that a clear move above $1.420 could prompt additional upside. Analyst Sam Mti posted that a buy signal from the MTI indicator suggested room to move past $1.45 provided support near $1.40 holds.

Volume and derivatives data add context. A 90-day spot taker cumulative volume delta (CVD) flipped positive on May 1 and remained positive, indicating taker buy orders outpaced taker sells over the three-month window. A similar CVD increase in June 2025 coincided with a roughly 70% price rise. Open interest delta across exchanges also turned positive and rose to roughly $27 million on May 1, reflecting new derivatives positions being added as prices climbed. CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha noted that a sharp positive OI delta during rising prices often corresponds with traders increasing exposure as momentum returns.

Technical indicators, moving averages, spot CVD and open interest provide the data points market participants are using to assess the breakout. Past chart patterns do not guarantee future results, and price action can change if support near the flag boundary and moving-average levels fails.