Bitcoin Tops $64,360 as Bitfinex Flags Downside Risks

Bitcoin reached $64,360 after a short squeeze that wiped out about $35 million in shorts. Bitfinex warned rising real yields and a break below $63,000 could raise downside risk.

Bitcoin peaked at $64,360 on Tuesday after a rapid rally that erased roughly $35 million in overleveraged short positions. The token traded between $63,300 and $64,360 and held support above $63,500, leaving its market value near $1.29 trillion.

Trading picked up after bitcoin reclaimed $63,000 shortly after midday on Aug. 3. It climbed to an intraday high of $64,129 before reaching the session peak of $64,360 on Aug. 4. Over 24 hours the price gained 0.8%. The price briefly dipped to $63,300 on Aug. 3 and to $63,400 on Aug. 4 but otherwise stayed above $63,500 for much of the period.

Derivatives activity amplified the swings. Data from market trackers recorded $42 million in liquidations over 24 hours, with about 83% tied to short positions, roughly $35 million. Across the crypto market, short contracts worth about $122 million were liquidated compared with $58 million in long liquidations.

Political developments affected trader expectations. Senate Majority Leader John Thune expressed optimism the CLARITY Act would reach a Senate vote before recess, but with fewer than three days remaining prediction-market odds for the bill’s passage in 2026 fell to about 25%, down from roughly 27% a day earlier. Market participants said that if the bill stalls, bitcoin’s year-end prospects would depend more on macroeconomic conditions.

Bitfinex analysts highlighted macro risks in a client report, noting rising real yields and the $62,000–$65,000 range as key levels. The report referenced an intra-week reversal that closed below $63,000, with price finishing at $62,815 on Aug. 1, and warned that two daily closes below $63,000 would activate a downside trigger outlined in their previous update.

The analysts added: “It is the real cost of money – the return investors can earn after inflation. The current environment can help and hurt at the same time.” They pointed to strength in longer-term government bond yields and recent pressure on equities as factors increasing strain on bitcoin.

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