Bitcoin Eyes $92,630 Target After Holding $60,000 Support

Bitcoin climbed about 6.5% to $62,950 after holding above $60,000 and its 200-week SMA; analyst Filbfilb projects a rally to $92,630 if the Nasdaq weakens further.

Bitcoin rose about 6.5% from a local low near $59,100 to an intraday high of roughly $62,950 on Sunday after staying above the $60,000 level and its 200-week simple moving average, around $61,880. The price recovered after a brief dip below $60,000 over the weekend.

Analyst Filbfilb published technical commentary noting that if Bitcoin holds the 200-week SMA, the next major upside reference is the 50-week simple moving average near $92,630. The analyst described the recent drop below $60,000 as a possible shakeout if long-term support holds.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell more than 4% on Friday, its steepest one-day drop since April 2025. The Nasdaq’s weekly relative strength index moved from about 74.75 to 62.46 after the decline. The index appears to be correcting toward its 20-week simple moving average, near 22,905 points, a level the technical comparison implies could be reached by June or July if the pattern repeats.

Filbfilb and other technical observers point to the performance of the Bitcoin-to-Nasdaq ratio as an additional data point. The ratio’s daily RSI fell to 14.70 on Saturday, the lowest reading on record; the previous low of 14.88 occurred in February and preceded a more than 30% recovery in Bitcoin.

Traders monitored weekend price action because the 200-week SMA has coincided with cycle lows in 2015, 2018 and 2020. Market participants note that holding that average would preserve a long-term support level, while a break below it would expand downside risk.

Technical indicators cited in recent analysis include the 200-week and 50-week simple moving averages for Bitcoin and the 20-week SMA and weekly RSI for the Nasdaq. Those indicators are used to identify medium- and long-term trend levels and relative strength between assets.

The current sequence of price action and indicator readings is framed by analysts as a scenario in which a weaker Nasdaq could align with a stronger performance in Bitcoin, and where extreme oversold readings in the BTC-to-Nasdaq ratio have historically preceded sharp recoveries in Bitcoin.

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