Binance: Tokenized Assets Could Reach $1.6T by 2030
Binance Research projects tokenized assets could hit about $1.6 trillion by 2030 as institutions pilot blockchain-based Treasury, gold and equity products.
A May 15 report from Binance Research projects tokenized assets could reach roughly $1.6 trillion by 2030 if current trends continue, based on institutional pilots of blockchain-based financial products.
The report shows U.S. Treasury-linked tokens make up about half of the current real-world asset market value. Tokenized commodities are mainly gold-backed and total about $5.1 billion. Tokenized public equities have risen to roughly $1.5 billion from under $300 million at the start of 2025. Across the five asset classes modeled-fixed income, equities, real estate, private credit and commodities-tokenized penetration is around 0.01% of the total addressable market.
The analysis notes: “Even sub-1% aggregate penetration by 2030 would represent a potentially trillion-dollar market, with our base case suggesting around US$1.6T.” It models broader tokenization across commodities, real estate, private funds and other alternatives as part of a longer runway beyond current fixed-income use cases.
Different network models support tokenized products. Public blockchains such as Ethereum and Provenance are linked to distribution, while permissioned systems are used where privacy, compliance and counterparty controls matter. The report highlights the Canton Network as an example of permissioned infrastructure used for Treasury repo activity and enterprise settlement.
Regulatory work is under way in the United States, Europe, Singapore, Hong Kong and Australia as authorities develop frameworks for digital securities and blockchain settlement. Financial firms are testing tokenized money market funds, collateral products and Treasury instruments as rules become clearer. The report ties further growth to clearer regulation, issuer activity, upgraded infrastructure and investor demand.
The report frames current activity as early institutional testing rather than widespread market change and says practical deployments at scale, not isolated pilots, will determine whether tokenized markets expand.
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