Prediction markets
Prediction markets let you trade on elections, economic releases, sports outcomes, and hundreds of other real-world events. The mechanics are simple: you buy a contract, wait for the outcome, and it settles at $1 or $0. In practice, execution quality varies sharply. Spreads can be under 1% on a presidential race or exceed 8% on a niche tech market. Resolution rules aren’t always intuitive, and access can disappear overnight if regulation shifts.
Which platform actually offers tight spreads? Where does regulation protect traders – and where is it just a label? How are disputes handled when a market settles against what most participants believed had happened? These questions matter once real money is on the line.
We test prediction market platforms using live positions, comparing execution costs in high-liquidity and thin markets. We look at order book depth, settlement speed, fee transparency, and how funds are held – whether in segregated custody or under an offshore entity.
This section focuses on the details that affect outcomes: liquidity gaps that eat into returns, contract wording that catches beginners off guard, and regulatory differences between CFTC-regulated venues and crypto-native alternatives. Reviews, safety checks, and beginner guides are built to help you avoid expensive mistakes before placing your first trade.
