XRP Holds $1.25-$1.30 Support as On-Chain Signals Dip
XRP held $1.25–$1.30 support. On-chain indicators show XRP/BTC RSI at 24 and an MVRV Z-score near zero, levels that matched prior market bottoms.
XRP remained above the $1.25–$1.30 support band while on-chain data showed technical readings at levels seen in previous market troughs. The XRP/BTC daily relative strength index registered 24, the lowest level since October 2025. That RSI level previously coincided with large breakouts in the XRP/BTC ratio in late 2024 and 2025.
Historical charts show the XRP/BTC pair trading in a long consolidation range that has preceded significant upward moves. A trough in that range in June 2025 preceded a 61% rise in the XRP/BTC ratio and a 92% increase in XRP price to about $3.66.
XRP’s MVRV Z-score was near zero. In past cycles, readings close to zero aligned with accumulation periods when many holders were near breakeven. The Z-score fell to similar levels in late 2024, a period that coincided with a macro low near $0.30 followed by a multi-month rally. The 0.80 MVRV pricing band sits around $1.14 and matched a 15-month low recorded on Feb. 6.
Cost-basis distribution shows roughly 1.73 billion XRP were acquired in the $1.25–$1.30 band, creating a concentration of holders with break-even or near break-even positions in that range. Price has held in the $1.25–$1.30 area since early February 2026, according to on-chain records.
Traders and analysts identified specific downside and upside markers. The 200-week simple moving average lies near $1.15; a daily close below that level would expose a measured bear-flag target near $0.80, about 41% below current prices. On the upside, analysts point to $1.61 as a range high that bulls would need to reclaim to change short-term control. Some on-chain readings indicate room to climb toward $1.70 if buying pressure resumes.
Trader ChiefraT posted on X that if the $1.25–$1.30 zone continues to hold, a short-term bounce toward $1.45 is possible.
The relative strength index measures recent price momentum and identifies oversold or overbought conditions. The MVRV Z-score compares market value to realized value to show whether holders are, on average, in profit or loss. Cost-basis heatmaps display where coins changed hands and can highlight price levels with concentrated investor exposure.
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