Bitcoin is up today - here is why

Bitcoin is up over the past 24 hours, trading around $120,000 with a daily gain of about 1.2% and a market cap near $2.38T as of October 3, 2025.
In the last 7 days, Bitcoin has gained more than 9.6%. The total crypto market cap is now above $4 trillion, and Bitcoin dominance stands at 71, signaling that BTC remains the main focus for investors. Read on to learn more about why is Bitcoin rising today and the key factors behind it.
Key points
- US government shutdown extends into third day
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs attract over $627 million in inflows
- “Uptober” seasonal trend adds optimism
24-hour Bitcoin price performance. Source: TradingView
US shutdown fuels demand for Bitcoin
The U.S. government shutdown began on October 1 and is now entering its third day. Economists estimate the shutdown could cost the U.S. about $15 billion in lost gross domestic product (GDP) each week, as federal workers are furloughed and key services are delayed. This kind of uncertainty often pushes investors to look for safe-haven assets outside traditional markets. That’s one reason why Bitcoin is up, as traders turn to it as a non-sovereign store of value during fiscal instability. The halt of important economic reports, such as the monthly jobs data, is also adding uncertainty for the Federal Reserve and investors.
Institutional flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs
US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw strong net inflows, totaling over $627 million on October 2, 2025. According to SoSoValue, BlackRock’s IBIT attracted $466 million, Fidelity’s FBTC $89.6 million, and Ark & 21 Shares’ ARKB over $45 million. These numbers show a capital rotation back into Bitcoin and restored confidence among institutional investors, serving as a key reason why is Bitcoin on the rise today.
Bitcoin ETF inflows strengthen at the start of October. Source: SoSoValue
Historic October gains drive optimism
October has historically been one of Bitcoin’s stronger months, often called “Uptober” by traders. The seasonal narrative contributes to higher investor confidence and supports bullish positioning. Combined with ETF inflows and macro drivers, this seasonal effect rounds out the reasons why is Bitcoin up today, with traders watching whether history will repeat in 2025.
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