Analyst: BTC $76K, ETH $2,400 Could Reverse Trend
Macro analyst Jordi Visser told a podcast Bitcoin above $76,000 and Ether above $2,400 would mark a sustainable trend reversal this year.
Macro analyst Jordi Visser told a podcast on Friday that Bitcoin trading above $76,000 and Ether above $2,400 would mark a sustainable trend reversal this year.
At the time of the recording, Bitcoin traded near $71,646, so a rise to $76,000 would be about a 6.1% gain. Ether would need roughly an 8% increase to reach $2,400.
Visser linked the price thresholds to his view that the U.S. will avoid a recession in 2026 and to persistent inflation. He told listeners, ‘I think inflation is going to stay elevated, and I think people are going to need to find something that is making money in a world where the S&P is not moving anywhere.’ He also said he does not expect a recession this year.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the Consumer Price Index for April rose 3.3% year over year. Traders have factored inflation readings and economic forecasts into position-setting for 2026. On a prediction market, traders currently price about a 24% chance of a U.S. recession in 2026, down roughly 10 percentage points over the past month.
Other market participants expect further declines. Veteran trader Peter Brandt forecast on March 31 that Bitcoin could retest or fall slightly below the low from September or October, which some analysts view as the bear-cycle bottom. Some traders point to the Feb. 6 yearly low near $60,000 as a potential target if selling pressure resumes.
Visser said he avoids rigidly labeling short-term price action as bull or bear markets and noted that investor behavior can change even when assets reach record levels.
Traders and investors will watch whether Bitcoin and Ether clear and sustain the $76,000 and $2,400 levels. If both hold above those thresholds, some market participants would interpret that as renewed risk-taking; if the levels fail to hold, others would see a stronger case for further downside.
The discussion highlights differing expectations about how inflation, central bank policy and economic growth will affect risk assets in 2026.
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