Trump Media adds in-app prediction market with Truth Social
Trump Media & Technology Group plans to introduce Truth Predict, a prediction market built into Truth Social. U.S. testing through Crypto.com Derivatives North America will begin soon, with a full U.S. rollout to follow and global expansion planned.
Truth Predict is positioned in-app markets on elections, inflation, commodity prices and sports, with Crypto.com’s CFTC-registered exchange and clearinghouse handling wagers and settlement. The company said the aim is to let users trade event outcomes directly inside Truth Social.
The announcement lands as prediction platforms hit record activity and attract large backers. Polymarket is seeking funding at a valuation of up to $15 billion, while Kalshi prediction market is fielding offers valuing it at more than $10 billion.
The announcement lands as prediction platforms hit record activity and attract large backers. Polymarket is seeking funding at a valuation of up to $15 billion, while Kalshi prediction market is fielding offers valuing it at more than $10 billion.
For too long, global elites have closely controlled these markets – with Truth Predict, we’re democratizing information and empowering everyday Americans to harness the wisdom of the crowd, turning free speech into actionable foresight,
Interest in prediction markets has climbed in 2025, with trading volumes at leading venues hitting records. Large financial firms are evaluating entries into the space, and dedicated platforms are seeking fresh funding. However, rules remain uneven across jurisdictions. Sports betting is still illegal in nearly a dozen states.
Crypto.com Derivatives North America will handle exchange and clearing, while Truth Social provides the distribution and social interface. Trump Media said supported markets will include macro indicators and major league sports alongside political contests. The firm plans staged testing on Truth Social before opening broader access.
Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek has maintained ties with Donald Trump and his businesses, including a visit to Mar-a-Lago after Trump’s election win and donations to Trump‑affiliated groups. In October 2024, Crypto.com sued the Securities and Exchange Commission after receiving a Wells Notice, then dropped the case two months later. The SEC closed its inquiry in March without an enforcement action.
Trump Media said the product will be native to its app and framed it as part of a wider push that includes streaming and fintech initiatives on the Truth+ and Truth.Fi brands. The company did not disclose fee schedules or an exact testing start date.
Crypto.com Derivatives North America will handle exchange and clearing, while Truth Social provides the distribution and social interface. Trump Media said supported markets will include macro indicators and major league sports alongside political contests. The firm plans staged testing on Truth Social before opening broader access.
Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek has maintained ties with Donald Trump and his businesses, including a visit to Mar-a-Lago after Trump’s election win and donations to Trump‑affiliated groups. In October 2024, Crypto.com sued the Securities and Exchange Commission after receiving a Wells Notice, then dropped the case two months later. The SEC closed its inquiry in March without an enforcement action.
Trump Media said the product will be native to its app and framed it as part of a wider push that includes streaming and fintech initiatives on the Truth+ and Truth.Fi brands. The company did not disclose fee schedules or an exact testing start date.
The open question is whether CZ is in the room. With Opinion’s mainnet going live on BNB Chain on Oct. 23 – the day of CZ’s pardon – and with prior ties to YZi Labs, traders see enough smoke to price in at least soft involvement, whether advisory, capital, or network access.
Author
Sebile Fane cut her teeth in blockchain by building tiny NFT experiments with friends in her living room, long before the buzzwords took hold. She’s driven by a curiosity for the human stories behind smart contracts — whether it’s a small-town artist minting her first token or a DAO voting on climate grants — and weaves technical insight with genuine empathy.
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